Теоретические основы экономической науки, анализ фундаментальных экономических категорий, законов и принципов развития народного хозяйства.


318 публикаций

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Have Data Centers Raised Your Electric Bill? Causal Evidence from the United States
Forecasting AI-Era Productivity: The Intellectually Converged Human Framework and a Missing Cognitive Mediator in Production Function Theory
What Capital After Labor? Forecasting the Talent ROI Transition in the Human-AI Era
AI Economist Agent: An Agentic Framework for Model-Grounded Economic Analysis with RAG, Knowledge Graphs, and Large Language Models
Sustainability: Economics and Limits to Growth
Evaluating the Impact of Rhode Island's Self-Sustaining Reemployment Services and Eligibility Assessment (RESEA) Program on Employment Outcomes
Estimating Sloppy Directions via KDE: The Case of Kirman's Ants
A Knowledge Theory of Capital:The Value of Natural and Artificial Intelligence
What Prediction Markets Can See: Market Formation, Settlement Legibility, and the Geography of Tradable Uncertainty in Africa and Latin America
Climate Policy and The Energy Transition
Analysing drivers and interdependencies in European electricity markets using XAI
Testing Centralized and Polycentric Computational Planning
Digital Speech Acts Retain Control of Copyright with People, Not Platforms
Trading Frictions in Dynamic Cap-and-Trade Markets
Household coping mechanisms under grid failure: Evidence from a high electrification context in Lebanon
Thermodynamic description of wealth inequality in the world
LLM Consumer Behavior Theory: Foundations of a Novel Research Field
Environmental Threat and the Nation: Earthquake Risk, Distributive Priority, and Expressive Attachment
Partial Identification of Spatial Production Networks
BACK MATTER
YC Bench: a Live Benchmark for Forecasting Startup Outperformance in Y Combinator Batches
A game of information
Chaining Tasks, Redefining Work: A Theory of AI Automation
U.S. Policies Unintentionally Accelerated China's Open AI Ecosystems
Probabilistic Identification of Technology Tipping Points in Deeply Decarbonised Energy Systems
Introduction to gravity model for beginners
Decision-Making under Combinatorial Risk
CFOs Meet LLMs
Monetary Policy and Fiscal Rules
ChatGPT as a Time Capsule: The Limits of Price Discovery
Ownership Networks and Economic Power in the Italian Energy Sector
Match classification in the last round of four-team round-robin tournaments
Multiperiod Groundwater Markets
(Human) Attention Is (Still) All You Need: Human oversight makes AI-assisted social science reliable
Technology Shocks, Relative Performance Measures, and Outcomes: Evidence from Classical Chess
The Privilege of Exposure: Caste and Generative AI in India's Graduate Labour Market
Skill vs Education Types of Labour Mismatch and Their Association with Earnings
Recession Detection Using Real Time GDP Data
Tracking the Economy through Firm Creation:Evidence from Real-Time Administrative Data
Endogenous Fertility Waves and the Dynamics of Utility in an Overlapping Generations Model
A Taxonomy of Event-Linked Perpetual Futures: Variant Designs Beyond the Single-Market Binary Case
An economic geography dataset of U.S. skill specialization, relatedness, and complexity
Unintended Consequences of Recommender System Interventions: Evidence from a Field Experiment
Global Science Sustains U.S. Innovation
JFR-rg: A New Macroeconomic Framework for High-Debt, Low-Growth Economies under Financial Repression
Tuning in to Frequencies: How Global Assets Align with U.S. Put-Call Parity Residuals
161Regional Growth and Development
A Structural Matrix Autoregressive Model for the Joint Dynamics of Volume, Volatility, and Returns
A Theory of Interregional and International Economics
Conditionally Identifiable Latent Representation for Multivariate Time Series with Structural Dynamics
The Cost of a Free Lunch: Evidence from U.S. Derivatives Markets
Growth Models with Spatial Externalities
Planning resilient hydrogen supply chains under disruption risk
The Changing Global Division of Labor in Software: Emergence and Diffusion of New Programming Skills across IT Hubs
Parameter Sensitivity Analysis of Hierarchical Spatial Economy: Trade Strategy around Brexit
The Dispossessed: Large-Scale Land Acquisitions, Elite Capture, and Dissent in Africa
Resolution-Aware Perpetual Futures on Binary Prediction Markets: An Empirical Risk-Design Framework Using Polymarket Data
Pay Beliefs and the Amenity-Pay Tradeoff
One at a Time? The Personal Productivity Bias in Emergency Department Patient Assignment
Coding Beyond Your Training: Claude Code and the Technological Frontier of Software Developers
The Multi-Sectoral Theory of Economic Growth
Mitigation of spatial economic impact propagation of highway disruptions by redundant networks
The Link between Fiscal and Monetary Policy – Lessons for Germany from Japan
Jointly optimal monetary and fiscal policy rules under liquidity constraints
Mind the Gap in the Mining Game
Trading Frictions in Dynamic Cap-and-Trade Markets
Cross-Stock Predictability via LLM-Augmented Semantic Networks
Macroprudential policy transmission and interaction with fiscal and monetary policy in an emerging economy: a DSGE model for Brazil
Deepening the Secondary Market: Integrating Trade Credit into Market Clearing with the Cycles Protocol
The effect of investor-driven information diffusion on excess comovement: Evidence from retail and institutional investors in China and the United States
Confidence, monetary policy, and fiscal policy
Probing Outcome-Level Resemblance and Mechanism-Level Alignment in LLM Risk Decisions: Evidence from the St. Petersburg Game
Can AI Refute Economic Theory? Evidence from Beyond the Knowledge Cutoff
Stress Amplified Resilience: ESG and Joint Fragility in Equity Markets
Leveraging LLMs for Unstructured Claims Data Analysis
Artificial Intelligence and Systemic Risk: A Unified Model of Performative Prediction, Algorithmic Herding, and Cognitive Dependency in Financial Markets
AI-Driven Alpha Decay: Algorithmic Homogenization, Reflexive Signal Erosion, and the Paradox of Intelligent Markets
Financial Dynamics and Interconnected Risk of Liquid Restaking
Portfolio Optimization under Recursive Utility via Reinforcement Learning
Does social media information affect individual investor disposition effect? Evidence from Xueqiu
Corporate transparency and the disposition effect
Mobile Foreigners: Mortgage Lock-In and H-1B Demand
Governing Technical Debt in Agentic AI Systems
FRONT MATTER
The Virtue of Sparsity in Complexity
The Stock Market and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Empirical Investigation
Improving the Completeness and Comparability of Segment Disclosures: A Large Language Model Approach
Dissecting AI Trading: Behavioral Finance and Market Bubbles
QRAFTI: An Agentic Framework for Empirical Research in Quantitative Finance
Quantifying Social Inflation in Liability Insurance with Advanced Statistical Methods
Pay Beliefs and the Amenity-Pay Tradeoff
Do Matching Mechanisms Work with LLM Agents?
Reputation, Exposure, and Exit: Organizational Turnover after #MeToo
Merit or networks? What decides where research is published
Agglomeration and Economic Theory
Optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a currency union with nontradables
Global Science Sustains U.S. Innovation
Residual Supply and the Price of Risk Absorption
Towards an Ideometrics-Based General Theory of Human Progress
Kalimati Vegetable Price Index Forecasting with a Momentum Corrected Online Stacking Ensemble
The effects of monetary policy across fiscal regimes
SolarChain: Bridging Physical Law, Verifiable Trust, and Sustainable Markets for Urban Energy Resilience
Generative AI Fuels Solo Entrepreneurship, but Teams Still Lead at the Top
Statistical Model Checking of the Keynes+Schumpeter Model: A Transient Sensitivity Analysis of a Macroeconomic ABM
Manipulation, Insider Information, and Regulation in Leveraged Event-Linked Markets
From Augmentation to Reconstruction: Guiding the AI Disruption to the Good Place
Long-Term Health and Human Capital Effects of Universal Health Care and Mass Literacy: Evidence from Cuba
Count Your Losses, and Cut Your Blessings: Reference Dependence across Intertemporal and Uncompensated Labor Supply
Betting Against Integrity: Identifying Match-Fixing Through In-Play Market Dynamics
Foresight Arena: An On-Chain Benchmark for Evaluating AI Forecasting Agents
Information Leakage at Population Scale: An Evaluation of the Polymarket Insider-Relevant Subpopulation, 2020-2026
ForesightFlow: An Information Leakage Score Framework for Prediction Markets
Private Credit Markets Theory, Evidence, and Emerging Frontiers
Dynamic Evolution of Corporate Emissions Determinants
Three-Currency HJM for Brazilian Credit Markets
Economic Development and Growth
AI Patents in the United States and China: Measurement, Organization, and Knowledge Flows
Forecasting Oil Prices Across the Distribution: A Quantile VAR Approach
Interpretable Systematic Risk around the Clock
Insider and stealth trading with dynamic legal risk
[Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy: A Linear-Quadratic Approach]: Comment
Comments on “Mark-up fluctuations and fiscal policy stabilization in a monetary union”
StakeBench: Evaluating Language Understanding Grounded in Market Commitment
Wartime Controls, Political Connections, and the Pricing of Zaibatsu Rents in Japan, 1930-1943
How hate spreads online and why it returns: Re-entrant phases driven by collective behavior
From Summer to Spring: A Shift in US Housing Market Seasonality
When David becomes Goliath: Repo dealer-driven bond mispricing
DatedGPT: Preventing Lookahead Bias in Large Language Models with Time-Aware Pretraining
AI Agents in Financial Markets: Architecture, Applications, and Systemic Implications
International and Interregional Tourism
Divergent Minds, Convergent Baselines: A Bounded-Rationality Account of LLM-Human Strategic Behaviour
AI evaluation may bias perceptions: The importance of context in interpreting academic writing
Quantifying Social Inflation in Liability Insurance with Advanced Statistical Methods
Modeling Agentic Technical Debt and Stochastic Tax: A Standalone Framework for Measurement, Simulation, and Dashboarding
Beyond Prompting: An Autonomous Framework for Systematic Factor Investing via Agentic AI
When Redistribution Becomes a State Variable: Monetary-Fiscal Stabilization with Type-Specific Sticky Wages
Quantum Futures Interactive: A Live Demonstration of Post-Quantum Blockchain Security, Infrastructure Tradeoffs, and Sustainable Distributed Trust
Boundedly Rational Meta-Learning in Sequential Consumer Choice
Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy
Distributional Decomposition of Consumption Inequality Change During COVID-19
Valuing Winners: When and How to Correct for Selection Bias in Randomized Experiments
Geometric Brownian motion with intermittent entries and exits
The Satoshi Overhang: Why the Bear Case is Bounded
A Controlled Comparison of Deep Learning Architectures for Multi-Horizon Financial Forecasting: Evidence from 918 Experiments
Exploring Drivers of Extreme Housing Prices in Australia
Expectations-Driven Liquidity Traps: Implications for Monetary and Fiscal Policy
Algorithm or Creative? A Three-Arm Experimental Design for Decomposing Algorithmic Bias in Platform A/B Tests
Generative AI and the Reorganization of Labor Demand
De-risking renewable energy investments: Assessing contract design and project finance using operational wind park data
Value-focused modelling to generate alternatives -- Coupling multi-criteria decision analysis and optimisation models to support strategic decisions
Inflation bias and markup shocks in a LAMP model with strategic interaction of monetary and fiscal policy
The Hamiltonian formalism and optimal growth theory
New developments in monetary and fiscal policy
Sovereign Bond Yield Spreads in the Eurozone
Further Issues
5. Law, Monetary Policy, and Fiscal Policy in a Liquidity Trap
Government expenditure composition and fiscal policy spillovers in small open economies within a monetary union
The Phase Structure of Metallic Money: An MPTT Framework for the Spanish Price Revolution
Little Impact of ChatGPT Availability on High School Student Test Score Performance
On the probability distribution of long-term changes in the growth rate of the global economy: An outside view
From Expansion to Consolidation: Socio-Spatial Contagion Dynamics in Off-Grid PV Adoption
1.13. Fiscal-monetary policy mix
Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy: A Linear-Quadratic Approach
[Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy in a Medium-Scale Macroeconomic Model]: Comment
Compound Attrition Games: A Unified Model for Inter- and Intra-Coalition Rivalry
What Jobs Can AI Learn? Measuring Exposure by Reinforcement Learning
The Rise of Negative Earnings and Demand Shifting Investment
Human-Provenance Verification should be Treated as Labor Infrastructure in AI-Saturated Markets
Dissipation of Debt Financing Privilege on Corporate AI Washing: Evidence from China
Wage Rigidity, Exchange Rate Regimes, and Inflation Persistence in Transition Economies: A Cohort-Based Institutional Approach
Meta-Bayesian Nash Equilibrium: Existence via Kakutani's Fixed Point Theorem
Global Automation Atlas
Who Uses AI? Platforms, Workforce, and AI Exposure
Isomorphic Dynamic Programs
Not Yet: Humans Outperform LLMs in a Colonel Blotto Tournament
Position: The Pre/Post-Training Boundary Should Govern IP in Industry-Academia ML Collaborations
Remarks on Regional Growth
Optimal robust monetary and fiscal policy under uncertainty on the lower bound
[Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy in a Medium-Scale Macroeconomic Model]: Comment
Comments on “Optimal fiscal and monetary policy under imperfect competition”
[Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy: A Linear-Quadratic Approach]: Discussion
Integration with Patent Economic Theory
On Macroeconomics of Fiscal Policy
A Three-Variable Benchmark for Post-GFC Covered Interest Parity Deviations
Comment on “How much Fiscal Discipline in a Monetary Union?”
Expectations in macroeconomics and monetary policy
Economic growth and post-Keynesian economics
Cascading disruptions in natural gas, fertilizers, and crops drive structural food supply vulnerabilities globally
Introducing Feedback Thinking and System Dynamics Modeling in Economics Education
Nash without Numbers: A Social Choice Approach to Mixed Equilibria in Context-Ordinal Games
ROLE OF INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS IN ECONOMIC GROWTH: THEORY AND EVIDENCE
Optimal fiscal and monetary policy under imperfect competition
Fiscal stabilization policy in a monetary union with inflation targeting
The Goal of Fiscal, Structural and Monetary Policy
An Adaptive Variable Neighborhood Search for a Family of Set Covering Routing Problems with an Application in Disaster Relief Operations
RSDM: The Consensus Honest Money in the AI Era
Remote work expands pathways to upward career mobility
AI Alignment Amplifies the Role of Race, Gender, and Disability in Hiring Decisions
How Do Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interact in the European Monetary Union? [with Comments]
Monetary and Fiscal Policy Linkages in the Czech Republic
DEVELOPMENT OF ECONOMIC THEORY – FROM THEORIES OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT TO THE PARADIGM OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
Monetary and Fiscal Policy through a DSGE Lens
Debiasing LLMs by Fine-tuning
SoK: Blockchain Agent-to-Agent Payments
SoK of RWA Tokenization: A Systematization of Concepts, Architectures, and Legal Interoperability
Skewness Dispersion and Stock Market Returns
Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the Long Run
Can Government Change a Region’s Growth Path?
Chapter 7 Growth Theory through the Lens of Development Economics
Alternative Fiscal Policy Rules and the Stabilization Problem in EMU: Theory and Simulations
Optimal Fiscal and Monetary Policy in a Medium-Scale Macroeconomic Model
Mark-up fluctuations and fiscal policy stabilization in a monetary union
Monetary Policy
Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Liquidity Trap [with Comments]
Comments on “Monetary and fiscal interactions in open economies”
Monetary and Fiscal Policy for Sovereign Currencies: What Should Government Do?
Is Macroeconomics Dead? Monetary and Fiscal Policy in Historical Context
Fiscal Policies in Germany and France
Growth and Nash-Tax Competition between Regional Governments
The Strategic Gap: How AI-Driven Timing and Complexity Shape Investor Trust in the Age of Digital Agents
An Infinite-Dimensional Insider Trading Game
How War Distorts International Trade: Gravity-Model Evidence from Europe after the Russia-Ukraine Conflict
The Insurability Frontier of AI Risk: Mapping Threats to Affirmative Coverage, Silent Exposures, and Exclusions
What Drives Contagion? Identifying and Attributing Cross-Border Transmission Mechanisms
Electricity price forecasting across Norway's five bidding zones in the post-crisis era
The Signal Credibility Index for Prediction Markets: A Microstructure-Grounded Diagnostic with Weighted and Time-Varying Extensions
Optimal Consumption and Investment with Energy-Efficiency Adoption
The Anatomy of a Decentralized Prediction Market: Microstructure Evidence from the Polymarket Order Book
An Explicit Solution to Black-Scholes Implied Volatility
The Financialization of Proof-of-Stake: Asymptotic Centralization under Exogenous Risk Premiums
From Hypotheses to Factors: Constrained LLM Agents in Cryptocurrency Markets
A Three-Variable Benchmark for Post-GFC Covered Interest Parity Deviations
Engagement vs. Commitment: The Economic Trade-Offs of Polarizing News Content
Indirect Estimators of Intergenerational Mobility
External Demand, Domestic Monetary Conditions, and Remittance Dynamics in Nepal
Fiscal policy and monetary policy: China
Non-Quantifiable Variables and their Influence on Nigeria’s Education (Mostly University Education) and Economic Growth in Nigeria
The New Growth Theory and Development Economics
Economic Growth in the Age of Ubiquitous Threats: How Global Risks are Reshaping Growth Theory
Do Venture Capitalists Beat Random Allocation?
Optimal Semiparametric Dynamic Pricing with Feature Diversity
ESG as Priced Crash Insurance: State-Dependent Tail Risk and Deconfounding Evidence
DAO-enabled decentralized physical AI: A new paradigm for human-machine collaboration
The Value of Information: A Puzzle
Fair outputs, Biased Internals: Causal Potency and Asymmetry of Latent Bias in LLMs for High-Stakes Decisions
Ballot Exhaustion in Multiwinner Single Transferable Vote Elections
Fiscal Policy under Uncertainty
The Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policy
Neoclassical Growth Theory and Standard Models
Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in Five ECOWAS Countries: A Panel Econometric Estimation
Monetary and fiscal policy interactions in resource-rich emerging economies
Policy Instruments from Three Perspectives: Fiscal and Monetary Policy
Fiscal policy II: The long-run determinants of fiscal policy
The P behind Q: Empirical Evidence from Physical Drift in Put-Call Parity
The fine structure of electricity price volatility
Beyond Sentiment Classification: A Generative Framework for Emotion Intensity Evaluation in Text
Seeing the Goal, Missing the Truth: Human Accountability for AI Bias
Exact Value Solution to the Equity Premium Puzzle
Market Efficiency and the Heterogeneous Impact of Financial Liberalization: Evidence from the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect
Impacts of Economic Policies on Wealth Distribution in Token Economies
Monetary Policy, Fiscal Policy and Macroeconomics
Part 5: Monetary and Fiscal Policy
Economic Growth and the Role of Taxation-Theory
Global Economic Development and Business Cycles
Sources of Investment and Economic Growth Rate in Non-Core Countries
General-Purpose Technology and Speculative Bubble Detection
When Agents Shop for You: Role Coherence in AI-Mediated Markets
The Reservation Inflation of Hard Money: Gold-Standard Deflation and the Real Expansion of Nominal Claims, 1873-1896
Marshall meets Bartik: Revisiting the mysteries of the trade
Monetary policy and new-keynesian macroeconomics
Monetary and fiscal interactions in open economies
Fiscal Policy and Its Implications
Convergence: Theory and Evidence
Comments on “Fiscal and monetary policy interactions: Empirical evidence on optimal policy using a structural new-Keynesian model”
Optimal simple rules for the conduct of monetary and fiscal policy
Economic growth in the Philippines: theory and evidence
Antecedents and Affinities: Evolutionary and “Austrian” Economics
The Viability of Blockchain Markets under Discrete Clearing and Paid Priority
Residential Battery Pooling Under Backup Commitments
Profit-Oriented Planning and Multi-Market Operation Model for Hybrid Energy Storage Systems
The Effects of Innovation on Foreign Portfolio Investment: The Role of Institutions and Risk-Taking
Global and National Economic Growth with Free Trade
Modern growth theory
Organizational learning and optimal fiscal and monetary policy
Dexterity as a Source of Economic Growth
Lithium enrichment threatens to curb fusion deployment
The Demand Externality of Automation
Artificial Aesthetics: The Implicit Economics of Valuing AI-Generated Text
Migration-Driven Demographic Changes: effects on local communities in the canton of Fribourg
Supply-Based Regional Growth Analysis
Geography and economic theory
Endogenous Technical Progress in the Theory of Economic Growth
Dynamics of Regional and National Economies
THE NEOCLASSICAL THEORY OF ECONOMIC GROWTH
Economic growth and the environment: Theory and facts
Implications for Output Growth
Strategically Analogous Mechanisms
How many parents does it take? Parental time allocation and the effectiveness of fertility subsidies
Deep Learning for Solving and Estimating Dynamic Models in Economics and Finance
The Asset Price Channel of Monetary Policy: Evidence from Regional Stock-Market Developments in the Successor States of Former Yugoslavia
Trade, Education, Growth, and Population Dynamics
Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth in Nigeria: Testing the Prediction of the Endogenous Growth Model
Explaining Economic Growth
Policy rules under the monetary and the fiscal theories of the price-level
Monetary policy, monetary regimes, and monetary disequilibria
Economic Growth Theory … Bah Humbug!
Comments on “Active monetary policy, passive fiscal policy and the value of public debt: Some further monetarist arithmetic”
JEVONS’S THEORY OF ECONOMIC GROWTH
Towards an Evolutionary Theory of Economic Change
Monetary Economic Growth Theory Under Perfect Competition: Can Monetary Expansion Really Enhance Economic Growth?
Growth Controls, Smart Growth, and Zoning
Economic Growth Theory … Bah Humbug!
Understanding the Drivers of Economic Growth: Grounding Endogenous Economic Growth Models in Resource-Advantage Theory
Front Matter
Front Matter
When Does Mandatory Price Disclosure Lower Prices? Evidence from the German Fuel Market
Market Design in Regulated Health Insurance Markets: Risk Adjustment vs. Subsidies
Labor Market Participation, Marriage and Individual Welfare

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